Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168103 0.189518 0.212050 0.237469 0.265294 0.294770 0.328301
2025-04-13 0.138698 0.167452 0.199336 0.237128 0.280505 0.328536 0.385539
2025-04-20 0.119386 0.152995 0.191986 0.240160 0.297653 0.363632 0.444610
2025-04-27 0.106413 0.143829 0.189000 0.246855 0.318233 0.402632 0.509126
2025-05-04 0.093689 0.133192 0.182702 0.248253 0.331602 0.432831 0.563725
2025-05-11 0.084866 0.126340 0.180106 0.253426 0.349151 0.468136 0.625247
2025-05-18 0.078132 0.121385 0.179225 0.260235 0.368528 0.505919 0.690688
2025-05-25 0.069472 0.112783 0.172564 0.258574 0.376289 0.528673 0.737308
2025-06-01 0.062446 0.105730 0.167294 0.258127 0.385173 0.552701 0.785825
2025-06-08 0.056221 0.099188 0.162106 0.257201 0.392974 0.575140 0.832497
2025-06-15 0.052517 0.096101 0.161579 0.262642 0.409522 0.609528 0.895740
2025-06-22 0.047869 0.091040 0.157660 0.262746 0.418280 0.633288 0.944992
2025-06-29 0.043364 0.085895 0.153399 0.262299 0.426513 0.657027 0.995620
2025-07-06 0.039273 0.081024 0.149161 0.261533 0.434083 0.679900 1.045534
2025-07-13 0.036390 0.077951 0.147529 0.264591 0.447289 0.711008 1.107656
2025-07-20 0.034551 0.076558 0.148503 0.271704 0.466744 0.751525 1.184001
2025-07-27 0.031857 0.073297 0.146079 0.273144 0.477441 0.779449 1.242855
2025-08-03 0.030098 0.071630 0.146225 0.278691 0.494579 0.817173 1.316616
2025-08-10 0.028759 0.070644 0.147457 0.286019 0.514663 0.859679 1.398192
2025-08-17 0.026173 0.066866 0.143429 0.284214 0.520043 0.880121 1.447638
2025-08-24 0.024011 0.063724 0.140309 0.283725 0.527393 0.903583 1.501910
2025-08-31 0.021980 0.060628 0.137029 0.282721 0.533752 0.925545 1.554250
2025-09-07 0.020955 0.059640 0.137654 0.288591 0.551568 0.965537 1.634481